The essays.

Fifteen posts, August 2025 through July 2026. Free essays cover theses, macro, and performance narratives; paid posts carry the trade alerts and portfolio actuals. All live on Substack.

Jul 6, 2026

Q2 Results & Thoughts on Recent Semi Boom

The Q2 rebound — and why the semiconductor boom still doesn't get a dollar from this portfolio.

Free
Apr 6, 2026

Q1 '26 Reflections and Performance

Down 13.3% in a quarter — "puts me in line with Cathie Wood… that hurts."

Mar 30, 2026

On Sticking With Your Thesis

Judge the thesis, not the price — plus the Drunkenmiller entry-discipline framework.

Free
Feb 17, 2026

Thoughts on Software's Big Selloff

Software fell off a cliff on AI fears. Why META, NET, and Unity are held through the storm.

Free
Jan 26, 2026

2026 Predictions

S&P +15–25%, the TACO trade into the midterms, Mag 7 lags, Meta outperforms.

Free
Jan 5, 2026

Sold $MSFT Bought More $CELH

Out of Microsoft, into Celsius on the falling knife.

Jan 2, 2026

2025 Performance

The full-year numbers: +26.61% against the S&P 500's +16.39%.

Dec 26, 2025

Grading My 2025 Predictions

Self-grades, A through F: C+ on markets and tech, D+ on geopolitics.

Free
Nov 24, 2025

Thoughts on Bubbles

The bubble gradient: AGI's funding drought vs the data-and-distribution safe layer.

Free
Nov 6, 2025

Paid Subs, New Stock Purchased

Bought Celsius on a −22% earnings crater.

Nov 3, 2025

Thoughts on META Earnings

Meta −11% on a one-off tax item and $600B of data-center promises.

Free
Oct 6, 2025

Q3 Performance Update

Q3 +10.19% — and the "portfolio minus index" benchmarking philosophy.

Sep 29, 2025

The Unity ($U) Roller Coaster

The highest-volatility holding, and the turnaround bet under Matthew Bromberg.

Free
Sep 2, 2025

Why You Should Hold Less Cash

From 20–30% cash to ~1%: the case for staying invested.

Free
Aug 4, 2025

Why ASML is a Bad Stock to Own

The most-read essay in the archive — 54 likes, 38 comments, 7 restacks.

Free

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